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山东NM500耐磨板需求出现一定回暖
作者:聊城市瑞德隆物资有限公司 点击量:
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山东NM500耐磨板需求出现一定回暖


Shandong NM500 wear-resistant plate demand for some rebound


目前山东NM500耐磨板需求出现一定回暖,但由于环保因素影响,钢厂复产整体不及预期,这也使得钢厂短期内补库的积极性难有起色。同时,钢厂内铁矿石库存近期虽有下滑,但由于整体日耗也处于低位,整体库存可用天数处于持平状态。整体来看,基本面仍偏弱,短期或将维持偏弱震荡。”李文婧表示。


At present, the demand of Shandong NM500 wear-resisting board is warming up, but due to environmental factors, the overall production of steel plants is not expected, which makes it difficult for steel plants to improve their enthusiasm for short-term replenishment. At the same time, although iron ore stocks in steel mills have declined recently, but due to the overall daily consumption is also at a low level, the overall inventory available days in a flat state. On the whole, fundamentals remain weak, and will remain weak or volatile in the short term. Li Wenjing said.




国投安信期货分析师张贺佳表示,经调研,节前在乐观预期下建立库存的众多厂商,近期在价格破位下行后持续对库存套保,且一些机构在某些套利策略加入了铁矿石空头作为对冲标的。此外,季末资金偏紧,且前期部分托盘大幅亏损,存在到期补款或出货回款需求。


Zhang Hejia, a futures analyst at CITIC Anxin, said that many firms that built up their stocks before the festival with optimistic expectations have been hedging their stocks in the near future after price breaks, and some institutions have added short iron ore as a hedging mark in some arbitrage strategies. In addition, the end of the quarter funds on the tight side, and the early part of the tray a large loss, there is a demand for repayment or shipment repayment due.




张贺佳同时提醒道,虽然目前钢厂限产下库存水平处于适中水平,但随着自身库存的消耗和部分钢厂陆续复产,仍存一定的补库需求。且从近些年来看,铁矿石现货跌至70美元以下是钢厂较合意的拿货价位,存在一定的低价采购意愿。此外,成材作为山东NM500耐磨板在内黑色系的“领头羊”,其需求尚未证伪,价格急速下跌释放了部分高库存风险,短期持续大幅下跌的可能性不大,钢厂高利润下螺矿比不会无限拉大,成材是否出现旺季行情,将对起到重要的行情引领作用。


Zhang He Jia also warned that although the current level of steel plants under the production limit inventory is at a moderate level, but with the consumption of their own stocks and some steel plants have resumed production, there is still a certain demand for replenishment. And in recent years, iron ore spot fell to less than $70 is a more desirable price for steel mills, there is a certain willingness to buy at low prices. In addition, as the "leading sheep" of Shandong NM500 wear-resistant plate, its demand has not been falsified, the sharp price decline has released some high inventory risk, the possibility of a short-term sustained sharp decline is unlikely, the ratio of spiral ore will not be unlimited under the high profit of steel mills, whether the finished product has a peak season market, will play an important role. Market leading role.



“综合来看,山东NM500耐磨板需求推迟,供需基本面回归弱势,但后期补库需求及成材行情仍有支撑引领作用,短期期价将维持弱势震荡筑底,下行空间不大。”张贺佳说。www.hdnmgb.com


"Generally speaking, Shandong NM500 wear-resistant plate demand postponed, supply and demand fundamentals return to the weak, but the late replenishment demand and finished product market still have a supporting role in leading, short-term prices will maintain weak shocks bottom, downward space is not big." Zhang Hejia said.www.hdnmgb.com


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